Resolve Research
Resolve Projections tennis · us open projections
hard · Aug 30 – Sep 13

US Open 2026: Our Projections

The Official US Open Draw. Our model updates odds after every match. This is what we think will happen. Click any match for a detailed read on it.

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men's
women's
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Hard-Elo Standings — ATP

Every player in the draw, sortable. Hard-court Elo is what the projection model actually uses (no shrinkage — the hard sample is deep enough; capped 50% pull toward cross-surface overall on small samples). Click a header to sort; click a row to open match detail vs anyone else.

Resolve US Open hard-Elo standings — all draw entrants sortable by surface rating.
# player seed hard elo raw hard hard n overall age archetype
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